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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.8%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hoffenheim |
55.8% | 21.08% | 23.12% |
Both teams to score 62.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.02% | 34.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.03% | 56.97% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.43% | 12.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.35% | 38.65% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% | 27.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% | 63.58% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.63% 2-0 @ 7.56% 1-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 6.66% 3-0 @ 5.22% 3-2 @ 4.24% 4-1 @ 3.45% 4-0 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 2.2% 5-1 @ 1.43% 5-0 @ 1.12% 4-3 @ 0.94% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.44% Total : 55.8% | 1-1 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 3.51% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.08% | 1-2 @ 5.92% 0-1 @ 4.48% 0-2 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.53% Total : 23.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
11 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
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