We said: Greuther Furth 1-3 Hoffenheim
There were few expectations for Greuther Furth at the start of the season, yet not even their biggest critics could have predicted their troubles.
Unlikely to end their 12-match winless streak this weekend, expect a comfortable Hoffenheim victory as they look to pick up their fortunes on the road.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
