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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.14%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Union Berlin |
55.14% | 22.12% | 22.73% |
Both teams to score 58.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.57% | 40.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.19% | 62.8% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.4% | 14.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.31% | 42.68% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.69% | 31.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.33% | 67.66% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-1 @ 9.83% 1-0 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 8.46% 3-1 @ 6.3% 3-0 @ 5.43% 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 3.03% 4-0 @ 2.61% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.09% Total : 55.15% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 5.71% 0-0 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 5.93% 0-1 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3.08% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.72% Total : 22.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 30 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 75 | 20 | 55 | 80 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 66 |
3 | Stuttgart | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 68 | 36 | 32 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 59 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 58 | 35 | 23 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 34 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 31 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 31 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 29 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 27 |
17 | FC Koln | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 72 | -42 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |