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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
38.61% | 25.96% | 35.43% |
Both teams to score 54.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.92% | 50.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.95% | 72.05% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% | 25.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.77% | 60.23% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.78% | 27.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.36% | 62.64% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.61% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 6.92% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Freiburg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Stuttgart | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |