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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Hertha Berlin logo

Dortmund
2 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Braut Haaland (68' pen.), Moukoko (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Belfodil (18' pen.)
Ascacibar (66'), Plattenhardt (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Hamburger SV 0-2 Hertha Berlin
Monday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Next Game: Braunschweig vs. Hertha Berlin
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Hertha Berlin

Dortmund may not be firing on all cylinders, and may well be without a number of first-team players on Saturday, but they should still manage to grind out a fairly comfortable victory. Haaland will be determined to finish the campaign by adding his name on the scoresheet, and it is likely that he will do so against a Hertha side that will probably have to rely on results elsewhere to confirm their survival on the final day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 19.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 3-1 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHertha Berlin
61.54% (0.0040000000000049 0) 19.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 19.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 63.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.47% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)53.53% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.89% (0.0010000000000048 0)10.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.72% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32%29.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 61.54%
    Hertha Berlin 19.15%
    Draw 19.32%
Borussia DortmundDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 4.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.54%
5-1 @ 1.92%
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.17%
4-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 61.54%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 19.32%
1-2 @ 5.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-2 @ 2.21%
1-3 @ 2.05%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 19.15%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hertha Berlin

Borussia Dortmund
75.7%
Draw
10.0%
Hertha Berlin
14.3%
70
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
3-2
Dortmund
Belfodil (51'), Richter (57', 69')
Brandt (31'), Tigges (83')
Pongracic (90+5')
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Nov 21, 2020 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin
2-5
Dortmund
Cunha (33', 79' pen.)
Cunha (61')
Braut Haaland (47', 49', 62', 79'), Guerreiro (70')
Guerreiro (10')
Jun 6, 2020 5.30pm
Nov 30, 2019 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Dortmund
Darida (34')
Grujic (5'), Darida (18'), Ibisevic (83')
Sancho (15'), Hazard (17')
Hummels (19')
Hummels (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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