We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Wolfsburg
Dortmund have been far from their best for a couple of months now, with their performances being unconvincing and Haaland struggling to get back amongst the goals following his return from injury.
However, BVB should have enough in them to see off a Wolfsburg side that remain poor despite a comprehensive result last time out, albeit against a far lower calibre of opposition to whom they will be facing on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 71.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 11.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.