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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Leipzig logo

Dortmund
1 - 4
RB Leipzig

Malen (84')
Hazard (45'), Can (80'), Malen (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Laimer (21', 30'), Nkunku (58'), Olmo (86')
Kampl (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 RB Leipzig

With the ball hitting the back of the net at least three times in six of the last seven meetings between these two teams, goals are to be expected this weekend. Both Dortmund and Leipzig take good runs of form into this contest, but we feel that the hosts, with a fully fit Haaland in their side, should do enough to edge this intriguing contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.41%) and 0-1 (5.38%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawRB Leipzig
34.1%21.89%44%
Both teams to score 68.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.12%30.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.76%52.24%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01%18.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46%50.54%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.12%14.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.77%43.23%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 34.1%
    RB Leipzig 44%
    Draw 21.89%
Borussia DortmundDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.43%
1-0 @ 4.69%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 3.92%
2-0 @ 3.9%
3-0 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.63%
4-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 34.1%
1-1 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 7.08%
0-0 @ 2.83%
3-3 @ 2.49%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.89%
1-2 @ 8.52%
1-3 @ 5.41%
0-1 @ 5.38%
0-2 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 4.49%
0-3 @ 3.26%
1-4 @ 2.58%
2-4 @ 2.14%
0-4 @ 1.55%
3-4 @ 1.19%
1-5 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 44%

How you voted: Dortmund vs RB Leipzig

Borussia Dortmund
67.4%
Draw
20.2%
RB Leipzig
12.4%
89
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-1
Dortmund
Nkunku (29'), Poulsen (68')
Adams (40'), Poulsen (65'), Szoboszlai (88')
Reus (52')
Bellingham (31'), Reus (31'), Witsel (38'), Meunier (55'), Moukoko (89')
May 13, 2021 7.45pm
RB Leipzig
1-4
Dortmund
Olmo (71')
Upamecano (45'), Olmo (81')
Sancho (5', 45'), Braut Haaland (28', 87')
Can (15'), Bellingham (25'), Dahoud (50'), Sancho (81'), Hummels (90')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-2
RB Leipzig
Reus (7'), Sancho (51', 87')
Hummels (74')
Klostermann (63'), Olmo (77')
Haidara (90+1')
Jan 9, 2021 5.30pm
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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