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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Wolfsburg |
38.2% ( -0.3) | 25.38% ( -0.06) | 36.42% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 56.39% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( 0.31) | 47.41% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.38% ( 0.28) | 69.63% ( -0.28) |
Hertha Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.58% ( -0.02) | 24.42% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.16% ( -0.03) | 58.84% ( 0.03) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.61% ( 0.35) | 25.39% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.8% ( 0.47) | 60.2% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Hertha Berlin | Draw | Wolfsburg |
1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.2% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 36.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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