MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 18:44:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
 
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Wolfsburg
2 - 0
Dortmund

van de Ven (6'), Nmecha (90+2')
Nmecha (45+1'), Marmoush (54'), Otavio (63'), Nmecha (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hummels (84'), Modeste (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 0-3 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

We expect a closely fought affair between two in-form teams in Lower Saxony on Tuesday. Wolfsburg have been in great goalscoring form of late and should be able to continue that against Dortmund, but we expect the visitors to edge it in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
27.57% (-0.296 -0.3) 22.35% (-0.113 -0.11) 50.08% (0.413 0.41)
Both teams to score 63.21% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.22% (0.31999999999999 0.32)36.78% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.06% (0.347 0.35)58.95% (-0.343 -0.34)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)25.64% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)60.53% (0.052 0.05)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (0.26000000000001 0.26)14.99% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.56% (0.487 0.49)43.44% (-0.483 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 27.57%
    Borussia Dortmund 50.08%
    Draw 22.35%
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.23% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 27.57%
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.96% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 4.06% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.83% (0.054 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.08% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.92% (0.035 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 50.08%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Dortmund

Wolfsburg
18.9%
Draw
12.3%
Borussia Dortmund
68.9%
302
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
6-1
Wolfsburg
Rothe (24'), Witsel (26'), Akanji (28'), Can (35'), Braut Haaland (38', 54')
Baku (81')
Baku (33'), Gerhardt (41')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
1-3
Dortmund
Weghorst (2')
Lukebakio (25'), Lacroix (32'), Nmecha (37'), Arnold (42')
Can (35' pen.), Malen (55'), Braut Haaland (81')
Wolf (60')
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-0
Wolfsburg
Akanji (66'), Sancho (90+1')
Hummels (25'), Delaney (40'), Braut Haaland (80')

Steffen (38')
May 23, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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