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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
 
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Wolfsburg
2 - 0
Dortmund

van de Ven (6'), Nmecha (90+2')
Nmecha (45+1'), Marmoush (54'), Otavio (63'), Nmecha (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hummels (84'), Modeste (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 0-3 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

We expect a closely fought affair between two in-form teams in Lower Saxony on Tuesday. Wolfsburg have been in great goalscoring form of late and should be able to continue that against Dortmund, but we expect the visitors to edge it in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
27.57% (-0.296 -0.3) 22.35% (-0.113 -0.11) 50.08% (0.413 0.41)
Both teams to score 63.21% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.22% (0.31999999999999 0.32)36.78% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.06% (0.347 0.35)58.95% (-0.343 -0.34)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)25.64% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)60.53% (0.052 0.05)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (0.26000000000001 0.26)14.99% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.56% (0.487 0.49)43.44% (-0.483 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 27.57%
    Borussia Dortmund 50.08%
    Draw 22.35%
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.23% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3.56% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 27.57%
1-1 @ 9.93% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.96% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 4.06% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.83% (0.054 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.08% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.92% (0.035 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 50.08%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Dortmund

Wolfsburg
18.9%
Draw
12.3%
Borussia Dortmund
68.9%
302
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
6-1
Wolfsburg
Rothe (24'), Witsel (26'), Akanji (28'), Can (35'), Braut Haaland (38', 54')
Baku (81')
Baku (33'), Gerhardt (41')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
1-3
Dortmund
Weghorst (2')
Lukebakio (25'), Lacroix (32'), Nmecha (37'), Arnold (42')
Can (35' pen.), Malen (55'), Braut Haaland (81')
Wolf (60')
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-0
Wolfsburg
Akanji (66'), Sancho (90+1')
Hummels (25'), Delaney (40'), Braut Haaland (80')

Steffen (38')
May 23, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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