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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
27.57% ( -0.3) | 22.35% ( -0.11) | 50.08% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 63.21% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.22% ( 0.32) | 36.78% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.06% ( 0.35) | 58.95% ( -0.34) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.36% ( -0.03) | 25.64% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.47% ( -0.05) | 60.53% ( 0.05) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.01% ( 0.26) | 14.99% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.56% ( 0.49) | 43.44% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.57% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.15% Total : 50.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 48 | 13 | 35 | 39 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 35 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 30 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 30 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Freiburg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
7 | Stuttgart | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 26 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 25 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 24 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 6 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |