MX23RW : Sunday, January 12 15:29:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Mainz logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Wolfsburg

Mainz
0 - 3
Wolfsburg


Stach (75'), Svensson (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wimmer (33'), Arnold (70'), Baku (84')
Baku (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 6-2 Mainz
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-2 Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg have been in good form and have shown they are very difficult to beat. With Mainz coming off a 6-2 defeat, we would expect them to bounce back in this game but overall, it will be a tight affair and a draw seems the most likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
48.44% (-0.326 -0.33) 24.5% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 27.06% (0.283 0.28)
Both teams to score 55.26% (0.1 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.93% (0.021000000000001 0.02)47.06% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.69% (0.022000000000002 0.02)69.3% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51% (-0.125 -0.13)19.49% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.63% (-0.203 -0.2)51.36% (0.2 0.2)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.22799999999999 0.23)31.35% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (0.264 0.26)67.72% (-0.267 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 48.44%
    Wolfsburg 27.06%
    Draw 24.5%
Mainz 05DrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3%
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 48.44%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 27.06%

How you voted: Mainz vs Wolfsburg

Mainz 05
55.0%
Draw
21.7%
Wolfsburg
23.3%
60
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2022 7.30pm
Wolfsburg
5-0
Mainz
Wind (8', 42'), Kruse (24' pen., 35', 45+2')

Kohr (81'), Hack (82')
Tauer (23')
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Mainz
3-0
Wolfsburg
Burkardt (2'), Stach (4'), Lacroix (90' og.)
Barreiro (78')

Mbabu (82')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
Mainz
Philipp (47'), Victor (66')
Arnold (51'), Schlager (56'), Philipp (75')
Boetius (44'), Quaison (54'), Bell (77')
Barreiro (29'), Bell (40'), Boetius (61')
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
Feb 23, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
14-28
Ravens
6pm
Broncos
@
Bills
9.30pm
Packers
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
5RB Leipzig158342420427
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
8Werder Bremen157442625125
9Wolfsburg167363328524
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
11Stuttgart156542925423
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!