FC Koln3 - 2Augsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: FC Koln 2-1 Augsburg
Attack may be the best form of defence for the visitors given the amount of injuries and suspensions they have at centre-back, but Koln are likely to look the more balanced unit as a result thia weekend. As such, we expect them to return to winning ways after a difficult week, with Augsburg arguably due to suffer a defeat at some point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Augsburg |
63% ( 0.78) | 20.74% ( -0) | 16.26% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 51.94% ( -1.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.13% ( -1.44) | 43.87% ( 1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.74% ( -1.42) | 66.26% ( 1.42) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.7% ( -0.22) | 13.3% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.87% ( -0.44) | 40.13% ( 0.44) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.91% ( -1.83) | 40.09% ( 1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.27% ( -1.72) | 76.73% ( 1.71) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Augsburg |
2-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 63% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.74% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.26% |