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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
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FC Koln
3 - 2
Augsburg

Tigges (47', 81'), Huseinbasic (61')
Duda (62'), Uth (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Niederlechner (14'), Caligiuri (68')
Berisha (22'), Vargas (36'), Iago (54'), Petkov (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Partizan 2-0 FC Koln
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Augsburg

 Attack may be the best form of defence for the visitors given the amount of injuries and suspensions they have at centre-back, but Koln are likely to look the more balanced unit as a result thia weekend. As such, we expect them to return to winning ways after a difficult week, with Augsburg arguably due to suffer a defeat at some point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawAugsburg
63% (0.784 0.78) 20.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 16.26% (-0.789 -0.79)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-1.724 -1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (-1.436 -1.44)43.87% (1.433 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (-1.418 -1.42)66.26% (1.415 1.42)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.7% (-0.22 -0.22)13.3% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.87% (-0.443 -0.44)40.13% (0.439 0.44)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91% (-1.834 -1.83)40.09% (1.83 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (-1.718 -1.72)76.73% (1.714 1.71)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 63%
    Augsburg 16.26%
    Draw 20.74%
FC KolnDrawAugsburg
2-0 @ 10.85% (0.5 0.5)
1-0 @ 10.75% (0.58 0.58)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.3% (0.277 0.28)
3-1 @ 6.67% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 63%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.326 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.74%
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.49% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 16.26%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Augsburg

FC Koln
55.2%
Draw
20.7%
Augsburg
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Augsburg
1-4
FC Koln
Niederlechner (73')
Gruezo (42'), Oxford (69')
Thielmann (12'), Uth (15'), Modeste (63' pen., 77')
Thielmann (53'), Kainz (60'), Hubers (75'), Kilian (80')
Dec 10, 2021 7.30pm
FC Koln
0-2
Augsburg

Kilian (57'), Baumgart (79'), Ozcan (87')
Hahn (72'), Dorsch (88')
Gregoritsch (25'), Dorsch (41'), Gouweleeuw (57'), Cordova (86')
Apr 23, 2021 7.30pm
Augsburg
2-3
FC Koln
Gumny (54'), Vargas (62')
Gumny (45+2'), Gruezo (52')
Duda (8', 33'), Kainz (23')
Wolf (45'), Rexhbecaj (80'), Duda (90')
Jan 2, 2021 2.30pm
FC Koln
0-1
Augsburg

Modeste (64'), Bornauw (74')
Iago (77')
Uduokhai (12'), Gouweleeuw (64'), Richter (85')
Jun 7, 2020 5pm
Augsburg
1-1
FC Koln
Max (88')
Framberger (51')
Modeste (85')
Schmitz (15'), Uth (25'), Hector (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617
> Bundesliga Full Table


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