World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 23, 2025 at 1pm UK
Nyayo National Stadium
Kenyavs.Gabon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gambia 3-3 Kenya
Thursday, March 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Thursday, March 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
We say: Kenya 1-0 Gabon
Gabon have had the stronger campaign so far, and while they have not been particularly dominant across all competitions — registering four wins, two draws and three defeats in their last nine matches — they have shown resilience on the road, claiming two victories and a draw. However, Kenya's long-awaited return to home soil, backed by a passionate crowd at Nyayo Stadium, could tilt the balance in their favour in a contest where both teams are likely to find the net. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gabon win with a probability of 40.18%. A draw has a probability of 30.6% and a win for Kenya has a probability of 29.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.25%) and 1-2 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.43%), while for a Kenya win it is 1-0 (12.08%).
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Gabon |
29.27% ( -0.01) | 30.55% ( -0.02) | 40.18% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 39.72% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.53% ( 0.05) | 67.47% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.42% ( 0.04) | 85.58% ( -0.04) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.31% ( 0.02) | 40.69% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.72% ( 0.02) | 77.28% ( -0.02) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.98% ( 0.05) | 33.02% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.39% ( 0.05) | 69.61% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Kenya 29.27%
Gabon 40.17%
Draw 30.54%
| Kenya | Draw | Gabon |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.31% Total : 29.27% | 0-0 @ 13.43% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 13.38% 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.54% | 0-1 @ 14.88% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.17% |
Who will win Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Kenya and Gabon?
Kenya
66.7%Draw
25.0%Gabon
8.3%12
Head to Head
