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Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
Koln logo

Wolfsburg
2 - 4
FC Koln

Nmecha (2', 79')
van de Ven (38'), Marmoush (82')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ljubicic (22'), Otavio (32' og.), Kainz (45+2' pen.), Adamyan (81')
Duda (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 FC Koln

Unlikely to be a high-scoring classic, given both sides' recent results in the Bundesliga, a close-fought draw could be on the cards. With their Conference League campaign kicking off next week amid the glamour of Nice, it may be that Koln take their eye off the ball and have to settle for a solitary point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawFC Koln
37.46% (1.402 1.4) 24.51% (-0.201 -0.2) 38.04% (-1.201 -1.2)
Both teams to score 59.57% (0.831 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.68% (1.034 1.03)43.33% (-1.033 -1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.28% (1.007 1.01)65.72% (-1.008 -1.01)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.04% (1.218 1.22)22.97% (-1.219 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25% (1.76 1.76)56.75% (-1.759 -1.76)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-0.149 -0.15)22.67% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)56.31% (0.222 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 37.46%
    FC Koln 38.04%
    Draw 24.5%
WolfsburgDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.182 0.18)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.63% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.231 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.167 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.135 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.095 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.46%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.393 -0.39)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.318 -0.32)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.04%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs FC Koln

Wolfsburg
51.7%
Draw
34.5%
FC Koln
13.8%
29
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Wolfsburg
2-3
FC Koln
Nmecha (8'), Weghorst (51')
Nmecha (14'), Roussillon (80'), Arnold (81')
Modeste (34', 89'), Uth (73')
Schmitz (61'), Czichos (87')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Dec 5, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
2-2
Wolfsburg
Thielmann (18'), Duda (43')
Arnold (29'), Weghorst (47')
Otavio (90+1')
Jan 18, 2020 2.30pm
FC Koln
3-1
Wolfsburg
Cordoba (22', 45'), Hector (62')
Thielmann (66'), Hector (81'), Jakobs (86')
Steffen (66')
Brooks (19'), Schlager (25'), Weghorst (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1693436231330
4RB Leipzig169342822630
5Mainz 05Mainz1684430201028
6Freiburg168352426-227
7Stuttgart167543025526
8Borussia DortmundDortmund177463229325
9Werder Bremen167452829-125
10Wolfsburg167363328524
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164571421-717
13Augsburg164481733-1616
14St Pauli1642101220-814
15Hoffenheim163582029-914
16Heidenheim1641112033-1313
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613121337-246


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