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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Heidenheim

FC Koln
1 - 1
Heidenheim

Selke (29')
Chabot (12'), Hubers (41'), Pentke (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Beck (55')
Pieringer (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 Freiburg
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-1 Heidenheim

 Based on recent form, there would only be one winner in this match, but that could go out of the window to some extent given the gap between fixtures. Koln are also a relatively unknown entity given their change of managers. We can envisage Schultz getting off to a decent start by avoiding defeat, but Heidenheim should have enough quality and confidence to return home with another point to add to their tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 55.75%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawHeidenheim
55.75% (-0.262 -0.26) 21.74% (0.07 0.07) 22.51% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 59.69% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.07% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)38.93% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.75% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)61.25% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.1% (-0.11 -0.11)13.9% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.67% (-0.222 -0.22)41.33% (0.224 0.22)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33% (0.119 0.12)30.67% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.08% (0.136 0.14)66.92% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 55.75%
    Heidenheim 22.51%
    Draw 21.74%
FC KolnDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.46% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 55.75%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.74%
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.04% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 22.51%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Heidenheim

FC Koln
36.0%
Draw
32.0%
Heidenheim
32.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Heidenheim
0-2
FC Koln

Andrich (64')
Drexler (10'), Cordoba (41')
Modeste (44'), Czichos (64')
Oct 27, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 11
FC Koln
1-1
Heidenheim
Guirassy (58')
Hoger (1'), Hector (45')
Beermann (9')
Dorsch (45'), Griesbeck (66'), Beermann (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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