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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Heidenheim

FC Koln
1 - 1
Heidenheim

Selke (29')
Chabot (12'), Hubers (41'), Pentke (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Beck (55')
Pieringer (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 Freiburg
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-1 Heidenheim

 Based on recent form, there would only be one winner in this match, but that could go out of the window to some extent given the gap between fixtures. Koln are also a relatively unknown entity given their change of managers. We can envisage Schultz getting off to a decent start by avoiding defeat, but Heidenheim should have enough quality and confidence to return home with another point to add to their tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 55.75%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawHeidenheim
55.75% (-0.262 -0.26) 21.74% (0.07 0.07) 22.51% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 59.69% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.07% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)38.93% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.75% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)61.25% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.1% (-0.11 -0.11)13.9% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.67% (-0.222 -0.22)41.33% (0.224 0.22)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33% (0.119 0.12)30.67% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.08% (0.136 0.14)66.92% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 55.75%
    Heidenheim 22.51%
    Draw 21.74%
FC KolnDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.46% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 55.75%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.74%
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.04% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 22.51%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Heidenheim

FC Koln
36.0%
Draw
32.0%
Heidenheim
32.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Heidenheim
0-2
FC Koln

Andrich (64')
Drexler (10'), Cordoba (41')
Modeste (44'), Czichos (64')
Oct 27, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 11
FC Koln
1-1
Heidenheim
Guirassy (58')
Hoger (1'), Hector (45')
Beermann (9')
Dorsch (45'), Griesbeck (66'), Beermann (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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