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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 55.75%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
FC Koln | Draw | Heidenheim |
55.75% ( -0.26) | 21.74% ( 0.07) | 22.51% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 59.69% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.07% ( -0.09) | 38.93% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.75% ( -0.1) | 61.25% ( 0.1) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.1% ( -0.11) | 13.9% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.67% ( -0.22) | 41.33% ( 0.22) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.33% ( 0.12) | 30.67% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.08% ( 0.14) | 66.92% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
FC Koln | Draw | Heidenheim |
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 55.75% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 22.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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