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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
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Mainz 05
3 - 1
Bayern

Burkardt (18'), Niakhate (27'), Barreiro (57')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lewandowski (33')
Kimmich (43'), Hernandez (65'), Pavard (73'), Sane (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

Last Six:
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Bayern Munich

Last Six:
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Mainz 05 1-3 Bayern Munich

 It is difficult to imagine Bayern taking their foot off the gas here despite having nothing left to play for, so we are predicting an away victory. The hosts continue to finish the season poorly so they are unlikely to be able to contain the firepower of their visitors, although the intense atmosphere and strong record at the Opel Arena mean they should cause some nervy moments for the champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-0 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBayern Munich
13.72%18.9%67.39%
Both teams to score 51.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.19%40.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.8%63.21%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.35%41.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.87%78.14%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.83%11.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.35%35.65%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 13.72%
    Bayern Munich 67.37%
    Draw 18.9%
Mainz 05DrawBayern Munich
1-0 @ 4.07%
2-1 @ 3.91%
2-0 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.25%
3-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 13.72%
1-1 @ 8.93%
0-0 @ 4.65%
2-2 @ 4.29%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.9%
0-2 @ 11.17%
0-1 @ 10.19%
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-3 @ 8.17%
1-3 @ 7.15%
0-4 @ 4.48%
1-4 @ 3.92%
2-3 @ 3.13%
0-5 @ 1.96%
1-5 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 67.37%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs Bayern

Mainz 05
16.9%
Draw
11.9%
Bayern Munich
71.2%
59
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
2-1
Mainz 05
Coman (53'), Musiala (74')
Musiala (27'), Sane (36'), Hernandez (56')
Onisiwo (22')
Stach (59'), Hack (89'), Stoger (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Mainz 05
2-1
Bayern
Burkardt (3'), Quaison (37')
Mwene (58'), St Juste (59'), da Costa (87')
Lewandowski (90+4')
Boateng (36'), Goretzka (41'), Alaba (42'), Lewandowski (73')
Jan 3, 2021 5pm
Bayern
5-2
Mainz 05
Kimmich (50'), Sane (55'), Sule (70'), Lewandowski (76' pen., 83')
Boateng (32'), Alaba (62')
Burkardt (32'), Hack (44')
Boetius (59')
Feb 1, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz 05
1-3
Bayern
St Juste (45')
St Juste (57'), Boetius (87'), Latza (88')
Lewandowski (8'), Muller (14'), Alcantara (26')
Goretzka (64')
Aug 31, 2019 2.30pm
Bayern
6-1
Mainz 05
Pavard (36'), Alaba (45'), Perisic (54'), Coman (64'), Lewandowski (78'), Davies (80')
Kimmich (20'), Hernandez (73'), Alcantara (75')
Boetius (6')
Niakhate (33'), Hack (45'), Kunde (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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