Champions League

Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Apr 12, 2022 at 8pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
1 - 1
Villarreal

(Villarreal win 2-1 on aggregate)

Lewandowski (52')
Lewandowski (33')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chukwueze (88')
Foyth (59'), Lo Celso (90+1')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bayern Munich	34	60	77
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64

Villarreal

Last Six:

Last Game: Barcelona 0-2 Villarreal
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Real Sociedad	38	3	62
7	Villarreal	38	26	59
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Villarreal (Bayern win 3-2 on aggregate)

We made the mistake of underestimating Villarreal before the first leg, and an entire XI of fresh legs can certainly trouble this Bayern backline - especially given their track record of away goals in the Champions League this term. While Emery's side could and probably should have scored more in the first leg, Bayern were also guilty of some profligacy on the night - which should not be the case at the Allianz Arena - and attempting to make lightning strike twice in Bavaria will likely be a step too far for this spirited Villarreal side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 16.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Villarreal
61.57%	22.41%	16.03%

Both teams to score 46.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78%

51.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.94%

73.06%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.83%

16.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.37%

45.63%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.19%

44.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.22%

80.78%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 61.56%

Villarreal 16.03%

Draw 22.4%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 13.2% 2-0 @ 12.02% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 5.86% 4-0 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.35% 5-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.07% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.9% Total : 61.56%	1-1 @ 10.59% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.4%	0-1 @ 5.82% 1-2 @ 4.25% 0-2 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 1.14% 2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.03%