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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Jan 3, 2021 at 5pm UK
Allianz Arena
Mainz logo

Bayern
5 - 2
Mainz 05

Kimmich (50'), Sane (55'), Sule (70'), Lewandowski (76' pen., 83')
Boateng (32'), Alaba (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Burkardt (32'), Hack (44')
Boetius (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 84.2%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 6.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.87%) and 4-0 (7.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawMainz 05
84.2%9.58%6.22%
Both teams to score 61.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
83.4%16.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
66.89%33.11%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.21%2.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.23%12.76%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82%37.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04%73.95%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 84.2%
    Mainz 05 6.22%
    Draw 9.58%
Bayern MunichDrawMainz 05
3-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 7.87%
4-0 @ 7.12%
4-1 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 6.65%
2-1 @ 6.58%
5-0 @ 5.11%
5-1 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 3.89%
1-0 @ 3.71%
4-2 @ 3.49%
6-0 @ 3.05%
6-1 @ 3.02%
5-2 @ 2.5%
7-0 @ 1.56%
7-1 @ 1.55%
6-2 @ 1.5%
4-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 5.4%
Total : 84.2%
1-1 @ 3.67%
2-2 @ 3.26%
3-3 @ 1.28%
0-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 9.58%
1-2 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.07%
0-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 6.22%

How you voted: Bayern vs Mainz 05

Bayern Munich
88.1%
Draw
5.1%
Mainz 05
6.8%
59
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Mainz
1-3
Bayern
St Juste (45')
St Juste (57'), Boetius (87'), Latza (88')
Lewandowski (8'), Muller (14'), Alcantara (26')
Goretzka (64')
Aug 31, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bayern
6-1
Mainz
Pavard (36'), Alaba (45'), Perisic (54'), Coman (64'), Lewandowski (78'), Davies (80')
Kimmich (20'), Hernandez (73'), Alcantara (75')
Boetius (6')
Niakhate (33'), Hack (45'), Kunde (77')
Mar 17, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 26
Bayern
6-0
Mainz
Lewandowski (3'), Rodriguez (33', 51', 55'), Coman (39'), Davies (70')
Sule (72')
Oct 27, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Mainz
1-2
Bayern
Boetius (48')
Caricol (43'), Oztunali (61'), Ujah (88')
Goretzka (39'), Alcantara (62')
Martinez (86')
Feb 3, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz
0-2
Bayern
Ribery (33'), Rodriguez (44')
Rudy (35'), Wagner (41'), Boateng (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz178453021928
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen177553132-126
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg175481933-1419
13St Pauli1852111421-717
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin174581423-917
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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