Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig2 - 1Dortmund
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 40.45% | 24.14% | 35.4% |
| Both teams to score 60.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.25% | 41.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.85% | 64.15% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% | 20.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.54% | 53.45% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% | 23.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.7% | 57.29% |
| Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig 40.45%
Borussia Dortmund 35.4%
Draw 24.13%
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% 1-0 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.81% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-1 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 3.91% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.21% Total : 35.4% |
How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Dortmund
RB Leipzig
52.6%Draw
14.3%Borussia Dortmund
33.1%154
Head to Head
May 13, 2021 7.45pm
Final
RB Leipzig
1-4
Dortmund
Sancho (5', 45'), Braut Haaland (28', 87')
Can (15'), Bellingham (25'), Dahoud (50'), Sancho (81'), Hummels (90')
Can (15'), Bellingham (25'), Dahoud (50'), Sancho (81'), Hummels (90')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Dortmund
3-2
RB Leipzig
Jan 9, 2021 5.30pm
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
RB Leipzig
0-2
Dortmund
Dec 17, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Dortmund
3-3
RB Leipzig
Form Guide
