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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 56%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
56% ( 0.35) | 21.69% ( -0.05) | 22.31% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 59.6% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.08% ( -0.11) | 38.92% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.76% ( -0.12) | 61.24% ( 0.12) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.18% ( 0.07) | 13.81% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.84% ( 0.14) | 41.16% ( -0.14) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.16% ( -0.32) | 30.84% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.88% ( -0.38) | 67.12% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 56% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 22.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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