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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Stuttgart

Union Berlin
3 - 0
Stuttgart

Becker (51'), Behrens (65'), Haraguchi (68' og.)
Leite (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Haraguchi (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, March 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Stuttgart

 Despite there being 28 points and 15 positions separating these two teams prior to Saturday's encounter, we can envisage a closely-fought affair at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei. As previously discussed, Stuttgart have found themselves on the wrong end of several tight games so far this season, and we can envisage a similar outcome with the hosts marginally prevailing this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
57.3% (0.225 0.23) 22.61% (-0.087 -0.09) 20.09% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.09% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.03% (0.191 0.19)45.97% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.72% (0.178 0.18)68.28% (-0.179 -0.18)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21% (0.142 0.14)15.79% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.06% (0.261 0.26)44.94% (-0.261 -0.26)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.05% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)36.95% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (-0.032 -0.03)73.74% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 57.3%
    Stuttgart 20.09%
    Draw 22.61%
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.94% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.12% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.82% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.81% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.09%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Stuttgart

Union Berlin
87.1%
Draw
2.9%
Stuttgart
10.0%
70
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 6.30pm
Stuttgart
0-1
Union Berlin

Karazor (58')
Jaeckel (76')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Stuttgart
Awoniyi (41' pen.)
Giesselmann (32'), Promel (90+1'), Schafer (90+4')
Kalajdzic (90')
Mavropanos (40'), Ito (79')
Oct 24, 2021 4.30pm
Stuttgart
1-1
Union Berlin
Faghir (90+2')
Nartey (55'), Karazor (56')
Karazor (57')
Awoniyi (31')
Khedira (62')
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
Stuttgart
Promel (20'), Musa (43')
Promel (9'), Trimmel (83')
Forster (49')
Coulibaly (30'), Karazor (51'), Mavropanos (90+2')
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
Stuttgart
2-2
Union Berlin
Kalajdzic (85', 90')
Mavropanos (4'), Klimowicz (31'), Gonzalez (56')
Friedrich (4'), Awoniyi (77')
Promel (35'), Griesbeck (55'), Gogia (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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