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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Dortmund logo

Stuttgart
3 - 3
Dortmund

Coulibaly (78'), Vagnomann (84'), Wamangituka (90+7')
Endo (35'), Mavropanos (35'), Tomas (88'), Wamangituka (90+8')
Mavropanos (39')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Haller (26'), Malen (33'), Reyna (90+2')
Bellingham (57'), Reus (71'), Reyna (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-3 Stuttgart
Sunday, April 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

 Despite fighting against relegation, Stuttgart have very rarely been soundly beaten all season long, and we do not expect that to be any different on Saturday. However, Dortmund have made a habit of scoring late winners under Terzic throughout the campaign, and we can envisage another one this weekend as they desperately attempt to keep pace with Bayern at the top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
33.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.34% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 44.59% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 66.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.49% (0.032000000000011 0.03)33.51% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.69% (0.036999999999999 0.04)55.31% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (0.01100000000001 0.01)20.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)15.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (0.033000000000001 0.03)44.78% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 33.07%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.59%
    Draw 22.34%
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 3.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 4.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 44.59%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Dortmund

Stuttgart
2.0%
Draw
7.8%
Borussia Dortmund
90.2%
102
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
5-0
Stuttgart
Bellingham (2', 53'), Sule (13'), Reyna (44'), Moukoko (72')
Ozcan (45+1')
Apr 8, 2022 7.30pm
Stuttgart
0-2
Dortmund

Mangala (45+3'), Karazor (86')
Brandt (12', 71')
Bellingham (82')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-1
Stuttgart
Malen (56'), Reus (85')
Massimo (63')
Coulibaly (35'), Anton (48')
Apr 10, 2021 5.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Dortmund
Kalajdzic (17'), Didavi (78')
Sosa (21'), Forster (28'), Kempf (50'), Anton (82')
Bellingham (47'), Reus (52'), Knauff (80')
Hummels (31'), Hitz (90+2')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-5
Stuttgart
Reyna (39')
Can (26'), Morey (66')
Wamangituka (26' pen., 53'), Forster (60'), Coulibaly (63'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Mavropanos (28'), Endo (40'), Wamangituka (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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