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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Dortmund logo

Stuttgart
3 - 3
Dortmund

Coulibaly (78'), Vagnomann (84'), Wamangituka (90+7')
Endo (35'), Mavropanos (35'), Tomas (88'), Wamangituka (90+8')
Mavropanos (39')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Haller (26'), Malen (33'), Reyna (90+2')
Bellingham (57'), Reus (71'), Reyna (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Despite fighting against relegation, Stuttgart have very rarely been soundly beaten all season long, and we do not expect that to be any different on Saturday. However, Dortmund have made a habit of scoring late winners under Terzic throughout the campaign, and we can envisage another one this weekend as they desperately attempt to keep pace with Bayern at the top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
33.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.34% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 44.59% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 66.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.49% (0.032000000000011 0.03)33.51% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.69% (0.036999999999999 0.04)55.31% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (0.01100000000001 0.01)20.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)15.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (0.033000000000001 0.03)44.78% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 33.07%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.59%
    Draw 22.34%
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 3.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 4.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 44.59%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Dortmund

Stuttgart
2.0%
Draw
7.8%
Borussia Dortmund
90.2%
102
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
5-0
Stuttgart
Bellingham (2', 53'), Sule (13'), Reyna (44'), Moukoko (72')
Ozcan (45+1')
Apr 8, 2022 7.30pm
Stuttgart
0-2
Dortmund

Mangala (45+3'), Karazor (86')
Brandt (12', 71')
Bellingham (82')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-1
Stuttgart
Malen (56'), Reus (85')
Massimo (63')
Coulibaly (35'), Anton (48')
Apr 10, 2021 5.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Dortmund
Kalajdzic (17'), Didavi (78')
Sosa (21'), Forster (28'), Kempf (50'), Anton (82')
Bellingham (47'), Reus (52'), Knauff (80')
Hummels (31'), Hitz (90+2')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-5
Stuttgart
Reyna (39')
Can (26'), Morey (66')
Wamangituka (26' pen., 53'), Forster (60'), Coulibaly (63'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Mavropanos (28'), Endo (40'), Wamangituka (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
RFC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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