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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | VfL Bochum |
51.58% ( -0.01) | 23.59% ( 0.05) | 24.83% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.19% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% ( -0.24) | 44.87% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.78% ( -0.23) | 67.22% ( 0.23) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.58% ( -0.09) | 17.42% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.14% ( -0.17) | 47.86% ( 0.16) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% ( -0.16) | 31.96% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% ( -0.19) | 68.41% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | VfL Bochum |
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 51.58% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 24.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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