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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 14, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Leverkusen logo

Stuttgart
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Guirassy (57' pen.)
Anton (64'), Bredlow (68'), Coulibaly (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Palacios (70' pen.)
Bakker (50'), Hincapie (60'), Wirtz (75'), Demirbay (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen

Stuttgart could be facing Leverkusen at the absolute perfect moment in the campaign, with the visitors almost certainly set to make several changes ahead of one of their biggest games of the season against Roma. The visitors will have plenty of players keen to impress their manager, of course, but the hosts' desperation for all three points should help them towards a crucial victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
34.6% (-0.262 -0.26) 25.08% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 40.32% (0.265 0.27)
Both teams to score 57.19% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.74% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)46.26% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.44% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)68.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (-0.161 -0.16)25.9% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.11% (-0.219 -0.22)60.89% (0.218 0.22)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18% (0.122 0.12)22.81% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.47% (0.182 0.18)56.53% (-0.184 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 34.6%
    Bayer Leverkusen 40.32%
    Draw 25.07%
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 34.6%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.45% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.32%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs B. Leverkusen

Stuttgart
46.4%
Draw
7.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
46.4%
69
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 15
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Stuttgart
Diaby (30'), Tah (82')

Zagadou (39')
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 22
B. Leverkusen
4-2
Stuttgart
Diaby (41'), Adli (52'), Wirtz (86'), Schick (90')
Demirbay (45'), Andrich (63'), Bakker (83')
Tomas (49', 88')
Endo (51'), Mavropanos (90+4')
Sep 19, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 5
Stuttgart
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Mangala (38')
Karazor (63'), Coulibaly (76')
Andrich (2'), Schick (19'), Wirtz (70')
Frimpong (36'), Bakker (37'), Aranguiz (58')
Andrich (32')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 20
B. Leverkusen
5-2
Stuttgart
Demirbay (18', 31'), Bailey (56'), Wirtz (68'), Gray (84')
Kalajdzic (50', 77')
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 3
Stuttgart
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Kalajdzic (76')
Kempf (69'), Massimo (75'), Endo (89')
Schick (7')
Bellarabi (75'), Aranguiz (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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