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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
34.6% ( -0.26) | 25.08% ( -0) | 40.32% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 57.19% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.74% ( -0.02) | 46.26% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.44% ( -0.02) | 68.55% ( 0.02) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.1% ( -0.16) | 25.9% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.11% ( -0.22) | 60.89% ( 0.22) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.18% ( 0.12) | 22.81% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.47% ( 0.18) | 56.53% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.38% Total : 34.6% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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