MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 21:27:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Leipzig logo

Union Berlin
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (38')
Ronnow (49'), Behrens (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Orban (83')
Kampl (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 RB Leipzig

It is hard to split these two teams, with Leipzig obviously possessing superior individual quality, but Union Berlin's counter-attacking style is likely to hurt them. As such, it would be no surprise to see Leipzig draw a third successive match, with both teams probably content enough with that potential outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
22.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 25.14% (0.2 0.2) 52.35% (-0.154 -0.15)
Both teams to score 48.74% (-0.642 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56% (-0.818 -0.82)53.44% (0.813 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (-0.695 -0.7)74.97% (0.691 0.69)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (-0.508 -0.51)38.76% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5% (-0.484 -0.48)75.49% (0.48 0.48)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)20.41% (0.385 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (-0.618 -0.62)52.85% (0.614 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 22.51%
    RB Leipzig 52.35%
    Draw 25.13%
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
1-0 @ 7.5% (0.136 0.14)
2-1 @ 5.65% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.55% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 22.51%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 12.57% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 9.99% (0.083 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.29% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.1% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 52.35%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Union Berlin
15.4%
Draw
16.9%
RB Leipzig
67.7%
65
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Poulsen (46')
Olmo (87'), Adams (90+6')
Michel (86'), Behrens (89')
Behrens (90+1'), Ronnow (90+4')
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
RB Leipzig
2-1
Union Berlin
Silva (61' pen.), Forsberg (90+3')
Laimer (35'), Simakan (90+4')
Becker (25')
Knoche (43'), Khedira (80'), Michel (90+5')
Dec 3, 2021 7.30pm
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 20, 2021 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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