MX23RW : Saturday, January 11 19:53:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Leipzig logo

Union Berlin
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (38')
Ronnow (49'), Behrens (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Orban (83')
Kampl (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 RB Leipzig

It is hard to split these two teams, with Leipzig obviously possessing superior individual quality, but Union Berlin's counter-attacking style is likely to hurt them. As such, it would be no surprise to see Leipzig draw a third successive match, with both teams probably content enough with that potential outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
22.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 25.14% (0.2 0.2) 52.35% (-0.154 -0.15)
Both teams to score 48.74% (-0.642 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56% (-0.818 -0.82)53.44% (0.813 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (-0.695 -0.7)74.97% (0.691 0.69)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (-0.508 -0.51)38.76% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5% (-0.484 -0.48)75.49% (0.48 0.48)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)20.41% (0.385 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (-0.618 -0.62)52.85% (0.614 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 22.51%
    RB Leipzig 52.35%
    Draw 25.13%
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
1-0 @ 7.5% (0.136 0.14)
2-1 @ 5.65% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.55% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 22.51%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 12.57% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 9.99% (0.083 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.29% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.1% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 52.35%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Union Berlin
15.4%
Draw
16.9%
RB Leipzig
67.7%
65
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Poulsen (46')
Olmo (87'), Adams (90+6')
Michel (86'), Behrens (89')
Behrens (90+1'), Ronnow (90+4')
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
RB Leipzig
2-1
Union Berlin
Silva (61' pen.), Forsberg (90+3')
Laimer (35'), Simakan (90+4')
Becker (25')
Knoche (43'), Khedira (80'), Michel (90+5')
Dec 3, 2021 7.30pm
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 20, 2021 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern16123148133539
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen16105140231735
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1683436231327
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg168352426-227
6Mainz 05Mainz1674430201025
7Borussia DortmundDortmund167453025525
8Werder Bremen157442625125
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach167362521424
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg166363328521
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin164561421-717
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli164291220-814
15Hoffenheim163572029-914
16Heidenheim1631112033-1310
17Holstein Kiel1622122141-208
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1613111337-246


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!