Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 81.15%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Stade d'Abidjan had a probability of 5.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.16%) and 3-0 (13.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Stade d'Abidjan win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.