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Milan logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
San Siro
Porto

AC Milan
1 - 1
Porto

Mbemba (61' og.)
Pioli (28'), Tomori (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diaz (6')
Grujic (49'), Mbemba (65'), Vitinha (73'), Conceicao (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawPorto
33.8%25.25%40.95%
Both teams to score 56.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.8%47.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.56%69.43%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17%26.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88%62.12%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08%22.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32%56.68%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 33.8%
    Porto 40.95%
    Draw 25.24%
AC MilanDrawPorto
1-0 @ 8.09%
2-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 5.32%
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.8%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.15%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 9.06%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 4.31%
0-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.84%
1-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.95%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Porto

AC Milan
75.0%
Draw
12.3%
Porto
12.7%
529
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Porto
1-0
AC Milan
Diaz (65')
Oliveira (3'), Uribe (38')

Tomori (16'), Giroud (20'), Kalulu (81'), Ibrahimovic (87'), Leao (90')
rhs 2.0
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