Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
San Siro
AC Milan1 - 1Porto
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Porto |
| 33.8% | 25.25% | 40.95% |
| Both teams to score 56.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.8% | 47.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.56% | 69.43% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.17% | 26.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.88% | 62.12% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% | 22.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.32% | 56.68% |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 33.8%
Porto 40.95%
Draw 25.24%
| AC Milan | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 8.09% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.8% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 9.06% 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 4.31% 0-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.95% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Porto
AC Milan
75.0%Draw
12.3%Porto
12.7%529
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Porto
1-0
AC Milan
