Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma1 - 2AC Milan
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ibrahimovic (26'), Kessie (57' pen.)
Ibrahimovic (27'), Hernandez (41'), Tomori (65'), Calabria (67'), Giroud (77'), Kessie (81')
Hernandez (66')
Ibrahimovic (27'), Hernandez (41'), Tomori (65'), Calabria (67'), Giroud (77'), Kessie (81')
Hernandez (66')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
| 43.56% | 25.65% | 30.79% |
| Both teams to score 53.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.11% | 71.89% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% | 22.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.46% | 56.54% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% | 30.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.76% | 66.24% |
| Score Analysis |
Roma 43.55%
AC Milan 30.79%
Draw 25.64%
| Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.55% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.87% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.25% 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.21% Total : 30.79% |
How you voted: Roma vs AC Milan
Roma
25.3%Draw
23.6%AC Milan
51.0%292
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
Oct 26, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
AC Milan
3-3
Roma
Jun 28, 2020 4.15pm
Gameweek 28
AC Milan
2-0
Roma
Oct 27, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
2-1
AC Milan
Feb 3, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Roma
1-1
AC Milan
