We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Club Brugge
Club Brugge have been exceptional in the competition this season, and it would be some result if they managed to triumph on Wednesday night. Atletico have had their problems this season, but it is difficult to back against them at home, and we are predicting a narrow success for Simeone's side here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.