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La Liga
Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Atletico Madrid logo

Sevilla
0 - 2
Atletico


Isco (11'), Delaney (31'), Gudelj (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Llorente (29'), Morata (57')
Witsel (38'), Felix (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, September 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-2 Real Madrid
Sunday, September 18 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid

 Two sides with plenty to prove, and with defensive deficiencies to boot, we can see an exciting game here, with plenty of opportunities at both sides. We fancy Atletico Madrid to get the job done, however, with their superior attacking talent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
33.63% (0.255 0.26) 27.43% (0.096999999999998 0.1) 38.94% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 49.29% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.71% (-0.334 -0.33)56.29% (0.333 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (-0.268 -0.27)77.32% (0.27 0.27)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21%67.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)28.13% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.457 -0.46)63.81% (0.45800000000001 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 33.62%
    Atletico Madrid 38.93%
    Draw 27.43%
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.62%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 11.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.93%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Atletico

Sevilla
20.2%
Draw
24.8%
Atletico Madrid
55.0%
129
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Atletico
1-1
Sevilla
Gimenez (30')
Hermoso (45'), Kondogbia (79'), Koke (89')
En-Nesyri (85')
Montiel (41'), Gudelj (72'), En-Nesyri (86'), Mir (88'), Lopetegui (88'), Acuna (90+5')
Dec 18, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
2-1
Atletico
Rakitic (7'), Ocampos (88')
Rekik (66'), Papu (68'), Montiel (69')
Felipe (33')
Cunha (90+6')
Apr 4, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
1-0
Atletico
Acuna (70')
Carlos (10'), Acuna (56')

Felipe (5'), Suarez (56'), Llorente (79'), Kondogbia (86')
Jan 12, 2021 8.30pm
Atletico
2-0
Sevilla
Correa (17'), Niguez (76')
Koke (48'), Savic (57')

Lopetegui (82')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Atletico
2-2
Sevilla
Morata (32' pen.), Felix (36')
Felix (73'), Trippier (77')
De Jong (19'), Ocampos (43' pen.)
Carlos (31'), Kounde (31'), Navas (43'), Banega (45+1'), Gudelj (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815
> La Liga Full Table


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