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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Atletico Madrid logo

Sevilla
0 - 2
Atletico


Isco (11'), Delaney (31'), Gudelj (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Llorente (29'), Morata (57')
Witsel (38'), Felix (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, September 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Two sides with plenty to prove, and with defensive deficiencies to boot, we can see an exciting game here, with plenty of opportunities at both sides. We fancy Atletico Madrid to get the job done, however, with their superior attacking talent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
33.63% (0.255 0.26) 27.43% (0.096999999999998 0.1) 38.94% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 49.29% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.71% (-0.334 -0.33)56.29% (0.333 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (-0.268 -0.27)77.32% (0.27 0.27)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21%67.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)28.13% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.457 -0.46)63.81% (0.45800000000001 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 33.62%
    Atletico Madrid 38.93%
    Draw 27.43%
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.62%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 11.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.93%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Atletico

Sevilla
20.2%
Draw
24.8%
Atletico Madrid
55.0%
129
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Atletico
1-1
Sevilla
Gimenez (30')
Hermoso (45'), Kondogbia (79'), Koke (89')
En-Nesyri (85')
Montiel (41'), Gudelj (72'), En-Nesyri (86'), Mir (88'), Lopetegui (88'), Acuna (90+5')
Dec 18, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
2-1
Atletico
Rakitic (7'), Ocampos (88')
Rekik (66'), Papu (68'), Montiel (69')
Felipe (33')
Cunha (90+6')
Apr 4, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
1-0
Atletico
Acuna (70')
Carlos (10'), Acuna (56')

Felipe (5'), Suarez (56'), Llorente (79'), Kondogbia (86')
Jan 12, 2021 8.30pm
Atletico
2-0
Sevilla
Correa (17'), Niguez (76')
Koke (48'), Savic (57')

Lopetegui (82')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Atletico
2-2
Sevilla
Morata (32' pen.), Felix (36')
Felix (73'), Trippier (77')
De Jong (19'), Ocampos (43' pen.)
Carlos (31'), Kounde (31'), Navas (43'), Banega (45+1'), Gudelj (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Real Sociedad124351010015
11GironaGirona124351517-215
12Sevilla124351217-515
13Celta Vigo114161720-313
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe1117389-110
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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