Champions League

Champions League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 8, 2022 at 8pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
7 - 1
Salzburg

(Bayern Munich win 8-2 on aggregate)

Lewandowski (12' pen., 21' pen., 23'), Gnabry (31'), Muller (54', 83'), Sane (85')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Kjaergaard (70')

Robert Lewandowski breaks Champions League record with fastest ever hat-trick

Robert Lewandowski becomes the fastest player to score a Champions League hat-trick in Bayern Munich's 7-1 demolition of Red Bull Salzburg in the second leg of their last-16 tie on Tuesday.

Mar 8, 23:14

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bayern Munich	34	60	77
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64

Red Bull Salzburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Bayern 7-1 Salzburg
Tuesday, March 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Red Bull Salzburg

Salzburg were excellent in the first leg last month, but we are finding it difficult to back the Austrian side to advance on Tuesday evening. Bayern have so much attacking quality, and we fancy them to score three times to comfortably book their spot in the quarter-finals of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
52.95%	22.69%	24.35%

Both teams to score 58.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.71%

41.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.32%

63.68%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.37%

15.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.37%

44.63%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.58%

30.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.38%

66.61%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 52.95%

Red Bull Salzburg 24.35%

Draw 22.69%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 6.03% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-2 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.8% 4-0 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.66% Total : 52.95%	1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.69%	1-2 @ 6.25% 0-1 @ 5.66% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.97% Total : 24.35%