We said: Dynamo Kiev 2-2 Red Bull Salzburg
Both sides have helped themselves to plenty of goals so far this season, and on effectively neutral ground, Salzburg will not be inhibited.
The Austrians can therefore put on a good show, securing a useful score draw ahead of next week's decisive second leg.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.