Salzburg2 - 1FC Twente
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Wednesday, July 24 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
We said: Red Bull Salzburg 3-1 FC Twente
A talented Salzburg squad eager to make up for last season's failures should take charge of this tie with a win on home turf. Twente will be found out at the back, and they may have a mountain to climb in next week's second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Red Bull Salzburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Red Bull Salzburg.
Result | ||
Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | FC Twente |
47.77% ( 0.01) | 22.16% | 30.08% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 65.86% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.91% ( -0.02) | 34.09% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.03% ( -0.02) | 55.97% ( 0.01) |
Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.2% ( -0.01) | 14.8% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.93% ( -0.01) | 43.07% ( -0) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.3% ( -0.02) | 22.7% ( 0.01) |