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FC Twente logo
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 13, 2024 at 6pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Red Bull Salzburg

FC Twente
3 - 3
Salzburg

Hilgers (43'), van Hoorenbeeck (64'), Steijn (87')
Rots (24'), Vlap (37'), Hilgers (51'), Steijn (82')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kjaergaard (17'), Dorgeles (25'), Kounfolo Yeo (46')
Gourna-Douath (9'), Blaswich (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FC Twente and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-2 FC Twente
Saturday, August 10 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Salzburg 5-1 BW Linz
Saturday, August 10 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: FC Twente 1-2 Red Bull Salzburg (Red Bull Salzburg win 4-2 on aggregate)

Given their greater European experience, Salzburg should finish the job in Enschede: they can thrive on the counter-attack, cleverly picking off their goal-chasing hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
FC TwenteDrawRed Bull Salzburg
45.98% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 22.39% (-0.032 -0.03) 31.62% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 65.92% (0.17800000000001 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.6% (0.211 0.21)34.4% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.236 0.24)56.32% (-0.235 -0.23)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46% (0.054000000000002 0.05)15.54% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53% (0.098999999999997 0.1)44.47% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (0.16200000000001 0.16)21.96% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (0.24299999999999 0.24)55.25% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 45.98%
    Red Bull Salzburg 31.62%
    Draw 22.39%
FC TwenteDrawRed Bull Salzburg
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.22% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.13% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.39%
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.17% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 31.62%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Salzburg

FC Twente
32.3%
Draw
10.8%
Red Bull Salzburg
56.9%
130
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2024 7.45pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Salzburg
2-1
FC Twente
Kjaergaard (41', 85')
Gourna-Douath (44')
Vlap (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Bournemouth157352320324
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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