Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Man City4 - 3Real Madrid
Reaction
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The Match
Team News
John Stones is fit to start for Manchester City for the first leg of their Champions League semi-final with Real Madrid on Tuesday night, but Kyle Walker misses out.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Manchester City and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg with Manchester City.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash with Real Madrid.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Next Game: Liverpool vs. Man City
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Community Shield
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | 73 | 93 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League
Next Game: Real Madrid vs. Frankfurt
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
We said: Manchester City 2-2 Real Madrid
Defensive uncertainties and absentees on both sides should have both revered managers feeling confident of gleaning a first-leg advantage at the Etihad, with Benzema and Vinicius capable of plucking goals out of nowhere for the visitors. However, City will need no second invitation to break down a depleted Blancos backline in front of their own crowd, and we expect an end-to-end first leg with plenty of goalmouth action to end all square. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.29%) and 3-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 43.14% | 20.37% | 36.49% |
| Both teams to score 75.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.54% | 22.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.48% | 41.52% |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.17% | 11.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.91% | 37.08% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.91% | 14.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.31% | 41.69% |
| Score Analysis |
Manchester City 43.14%
Real Madrid 36.49%
Draw 20.37%
| Manchester City | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 5.19% 2-0 @ 3.8% 1-0 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.7% 4-3 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 1.21% 5-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.93% Total : 43.14% | 2-2 @ 7.29% 1-1 @ 6.97% 3-3 @ 3.39% 0-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 1.05% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 6.83% 2-3 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-1 @ 3.27% 0-2 @ 3.2% 2-4 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 2.09% 3-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.03% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.75% Total : 36.49% |
How you voted: Man City vs Real Madrid
Manchester City
49.6%Draw
16.2%Real Madrid
34.1%844
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2020 8pm
Feb 26, 2020 8pm
May 4, 2016 7.45pm
Apr 26, 2016 7.45pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Real Madrid missing three players through injury for Manchester City clash
Eden Hazard, Luka Jovic and Mariano Diaz are out of the Real Madrid squad for Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg with Manchester City.
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Pep Guardiola looking to break Champions League record against Real Madrid
Pep Guardiola will be looking to break a Champions League record when his Manchester City side lock horns with 13-time champions Real Madrid in the semi-finals.
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Pep Guardiola: "Players will play in positions they aren't used to" against Real Madrid
Pep Guardiola admits that some of his Manchester City players "will play in positions they aren't used to" against Real Madrid in the Champions League on Tuesday.
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Pep Guardiola's managerial record vs. Real Madrid
Ahead of Manchester City's Champions League semi-final clash with Real Madrid, Sports Mole takes a closer look at Pep Guardiola's record against Los Blancos.
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Real Madrid duo Casemiro and David Alaba 'doubtful for Manchester City tie'
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Combined XI: Manchester City vs. Real Madrid
Ahead of Manchester City and Real Madrid's Champions League semi-final first leg, Sports Mole selects a combined XI from both squads.
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Manchester City vs. Real Madrid head-to-head record
Sports Mole looks at the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Real Madrid ahead of their meeting in the Champions League.
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How Real Madrid could line up against Manchester City
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg with Manchester City.
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How Manchester City could line up against Real Madrid
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.
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Manchester City team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Real Madrid
Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash with Real Madrid.
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David Alaba hands Real Madrid injury scare ahead of Manchester City clash
Real Madrid defender David Alaba suffers a hamstring strain during his side's 3-1 win over Osasuna on Wednesday night.
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