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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Real Madrid logo

Atletico
1 - 0
Real Madrid

Carrasco (40' pen.)
Llorente (37'), Savic (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jovic (20'), Vazquez (28'), Vallejo (38'), Ancelotti (67'), Nacho (71')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Sunday's La Liga clash with city rivals Atletico Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League
Next Game: Real Madrid vs. Frankfurt
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-2 Real Madrid

While there is an element of pressure on both Madrid teams to win considering that bragging rights are on the line, there is more riding on this fixture for Atletico as defeat on Sunday could potentially see them slip out of the top four. Real are on a real high after enjoying a historic week, and even if they opt to rest one or two star names, we expect the visitors to come out on top at the Wanda Metropolitano. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
38.27% (-1.283 -1.28) 25.87% (-0.211 -0.21) 35.87% (1.493 1.49)
Both teams to score 54.65% (0.914 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.37% (1.084 1.08)49.62% (-1.085 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.35% (0.965 0.97)71.64% (-0.96499999999999 -0.96)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)25.4% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (-0.27 -0.27)60.2% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (1.416 1.42)26.75% (-1.417 -1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (1.835 1.84)62.02% (-1.835 -1.83)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 38.27%
    Real Madrid 35.87%
    Draw 25.86%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.473 -0.47)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.362 -0.36)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.27%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.96% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 5.91% (0.209 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.241 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.19 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.153 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 35.87%

How you voted: Atletico vs Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid
27.1%
Draw
17.6%
Real Madrid
55.3%
255
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2021 8pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Atletico
Benzema (16'), Asensio (57')
Mendy (45+1'), Alaba (88')

Felipe (36'), Kondogbia (75'), Suarez (88')
Mar 7, 2021 3.15pm
Atletico
1-1
Real Madrid
Suarez (15')
Carrasco (64'), Correa (72'), Felix (80'), Savic (90'), Llorente (90+2')
Benzema (88')
Varane (67')
Dec 12, 2020 8pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Atletico
Casemiro (15'), Oblak (63' og.)
Casemiro (36')

Lemar (46'), Correa (50'), Savic (61')
Jan 12, 2020 6pm
Real Madrid
0-0
Atletico
Real Madrid win 4-1 on penalties
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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