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Champions League
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Ludogorets

Ljubljana
2 - 1
Ludogorets

Elsnik (18', 90+2')
Elsnik (7'), Nukic (12'), Doffo (13'), Silva (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Despodov (15')
Heister (18'), Naressi (48'), Piotrowski (90+11')
Son (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between NK Olimpija Ljubljana and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Olimpija Ljubljana

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Ljubljana 5-0 Rogaska
Saturday, July 29 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Ludogorets Razgrad

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Ludogorets 1-1 Ljubljana
Wednesday, July 26 at 7.45pm in Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Celje73.50Bizjak
2Ljubljana63.00Fadida
3Maribor52.50Jakupovic
4Domzale42.00Cerne
5Koper31.50Mulahusejnovic
6Bravo31.50Poplatnik
7Aluminij21.00Jovanovic
8NS Mura21.00Saitoski
9Radomlje00.00
10Rogaska00.00

We said: NK Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 Ludogorets Razgrad (Olimpija win 3-2 on aggregate)

 Nothing could separate these two outfits last week, and a similarly tight affair should be in store in Ljubljana, where Ludogorets should no doubt benefit from their weekend break. The absences of Nedyalkov and Duah is not what the doctor ordered for Petev, though, and with Olimpija hotshot Fadida aiming to continue his stellar streak in front of the home crowd, we can envisage the Slovenian champions coming up trumps to progress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana in this match.

Result
NK Olimpija LjubljanaDrawLudogorets Razgrad
29.11%25.13%45.77%
Both teams to score 54.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53%48.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4%70.6%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44%30.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21%66.79%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8%21.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91%54.09%
Score Analysis
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 29.11%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 45.77%
    Draw 25.12%
NK Olimpija LjubljanaDrawLudogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 7.68%
2-1 @ 7.06%
2-0 @ 4.55%
3-1 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.16%
3-0 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 29.11%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.48%
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 9.24%
0-2 @ 7.79%
1-3 @ 4.78%
0-3 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 2.83%
1-4 @ 1.85%
0-4 @ 1.56%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.77%

How you voted: Ljubljana vs Ludogorets

NK Olimpija Ljubljana
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Ludogorets Razgrad
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2023 7.45pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Ludogorets
1-1
Ljubljana
Yankov (44')
Naressi (73'), Fonn Witry (90+4')
Elsnik (14')
Posavec (22'), Doffo (62'), Nukic (65'), Sualehe (90+4'), Motika (90+4')
> Preview
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