MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 07:00:08| >> :600:1158420:1158420:
Servette
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de Geneve
Ludogorets

Servette
0 - 0
Ludogorets


Mazikou (24'), Ondoua (37'), Guillemenot (54')
FT

Sonko-Sundberg (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Servette and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yverdon Sport 2-1 Servette
Sunday, February 11 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Ludogorets 1-0 Nordsjaelland
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Young Boys502.17Nsame
2Winterthur421.83Ltaief
3Lugano421.83Celar
4Servette401.74Bedia
5FC Zurich351.52Okita
6St Gallen351.52Akolo
7Luzern321.39Meyer
8Yverdon Sport311.35Carlos
9Grasshopper291.26Ndenge
10Lausanne291.26Sene
11Basel281.22Barry
12SLO251.09Gharbi

We said: Servette 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad

This is a very difficult tie, giving how both teams have fared recently. The hosts won just one of the home games during the Europa League group stage while the visitors lost two of their three away games in the Conference League group stage. We think a score draw will play out in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ServetteDrawLudogorets Razgrad
44.15% (0.034000000000006 0.03) 23.02% (0.0040000000000013 0) 32.82% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 64.08% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.97% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)37.03% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.78% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)59.22% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Servette Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.43% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)47.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)22.55% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (-0.067 -0.07)56.14% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Servette 44.15%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 32.82%
    Draw 23.02%
ServetteDrawLudogorets Razgrad
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 44.15%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.89% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 32.82%

How you voted: Servette vs Ludogorets

Servette
41.3%
Draw
38.7%
Ludogorets Razgrad
20.0%
75
rhs 2.0
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