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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma logo

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Roma

Thuram (81')
Pavard (33'), Calhanoglu (56'), Bastoni (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mancini (13'), N'Dicka (47'), Paredes (50'), Cristante (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Salzburg
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Slavia Prague
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Roma

Benefiting from two extra days to recover from their European exertions - and boasting more squad depth than their visitors - Inter are set to make it three wins on the spin in all competitions, cutting Roma's resurgence short. The Giallorossi's absentees are among their most important players, and Inzaghi's men can be ruthless in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter MilanDrawRoma
51% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.32% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 23.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.9% (0.0049999999999955 0)53.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.32% (0.0040000000000013 0)74.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)20.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.51%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (0.012 0.01)37.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (0.012 0.01)74.24% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 51%
    Roma 23.67%
    Draw 25.32%
Inter MilanDrawRoma
1-0 @ 12.24%
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.43%
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 51%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.66%
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 23.67%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Roma

Inter Milan
78.3%
Draw
10.8%
Roma
10.8%
83
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 34
Roma
0-2
Inter Milan
Dimarco (33'), Lukaku (74')
Oct 1, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 8
Inter Milan
1-2
Roma
Dimarco (30')
Dybala (39'), Smalling (75')
Apr 23, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 34
Inter Milan
3-1
Roma
Dumfries (30'), Brozovic (40'), Martinez (52')
Brozovic (45+1'), Calhanoglu (87')
Mkhitaryan (85')
Mancini (36'), Oliveira (79')
Feb 8, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
2-0
Roma
Dzeko (2'), Sanchez (68')

Zaniolo (37'), Mancini (38'), Mourinho (45+2')
Dec 4, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 16
Roma
0-3
Inter Milan

Ibanez (37'), Mancini (63'), Zaniolo (75')
Calhanoglu (15'), Dzeko (24'), Dumfries (39')
Barella (47')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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