Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Inter Milan |
35.94% ( -0.04) | 26.86% ( 0.01) | 37.2% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.36% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.19% ( -0.03) | 53.81% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.72% ( -0.03) | 75.28% ( 0.03) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% ( -0.04) | 28.71% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.46% ( -0.05) | 64.54% ( 0.05) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.04% ( 0) | 27.96% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.4% ( 0) | 63.59% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.93% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |