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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round
Aug 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
 

1-1

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sparta Prague and FCSB, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-0 Dukla Prague
Friday, August 2 at 7pm in Czech Liga
Next Game: Slovan Bratislava vs. APOEL
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: M. Tel Aviv 0-1 FCSB
Wednesday, July 31 at 7pm in Champions League
Next Game: Slovan Bratislava vs. APOEL
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.30pm in Champions League

We said: Sparta Prague 2-0 FCSB

Although FCSB are capable goalscorers, they only progressed to the current stage of the competition because of a late winner, and they could struggle to find the back of the net again on Tuesday. Additionally, if Sparta's strong performances against Shamrock Rovers are anything to go by, then the hosts could come into the second leg with a sizeable advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%).

Result
Draw
45.15%25.03%29.81%
Both teams to score 55.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.28%47.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.09%69.91%
Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84%21.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98%54.02%
Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32%29.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27%65.73%
Score Analysis
    45.15%
    29.81%
    Draw 25.03%
Draw
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 4.76%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.15%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 7.63%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 29.81%

How you voted: Sparta Prague vs FCSB

Sparta Prague
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
FCSB
8.3%
12
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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