Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 56.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.