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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Middlesbrough |
31.93% ( -0.23) | 25.67% ( 0.09) | 42.4% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 54.38% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.44% ( -0.44) | 49.55% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.42% ( -0.39) | 71.58% ( 0.39) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.84% ( -0.37) | 29.16% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.9% ( -0.45) | 65.09% ( 0.45) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.77% ( -0.12) | 23.23% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.86% ( -0.18) | 57.14% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.93% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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