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Championship | Gameweek 20
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Bristol City

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Bristol City

Akpom (47')
Giles (25'), McGree (74'), Smith (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Weimann (10')
Low (89'), Vyner (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Bristol City

Given Bristol City's long-standing inconsistency, they may very well travel to the North East and pull off a shock win. However, we feel that Boro could improve quickly under Carrick, leading us to predict a home win, albeit in nervy circumstances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 14.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
64.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 21.7% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 14.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.95% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1% (0.049999999999997 0.05)51.9% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (0.044 0.04)73.65% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.024000000000001 0.02)15.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (0.045999999999999 0.05)44.43% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.02% (0.020000000000003 0.02)47.97% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.79% (0.014000000000003 0.01)83.21% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 64.22%
    Bristol City 14.08%
    Draw 21.69%
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.92%
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 8.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 64.22%
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.69%
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 14.08%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Bristol City

Middlesbrough
Draw
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
76.5%
Draw
11.8%
Bristol City
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Middlesbrough
1-3
Bristol City
Fry (80')
Bola (63')
Diedhiou (21', 33'), Wells (37')
Palmer (61'), Hunt (90+1')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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