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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Bristol City |
64.22% ( 0.02) | 21.7% ( -0.02) | 14.08% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 43.95% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.1% ( 0.05) | 51.9% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.35% ( 0.04) | 73.65% ( -0.04) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.48% ( 0.02) | 15.52% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.57% ( 0.05) | 44.43% ( -0.05) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.02% ( 0.02) | 47.97% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.79% ( 0.01) | 83.21% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.92% 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 64.22% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.69% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.74% 0-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.95% Total : 14.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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