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Championship | Gameweek 20
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Bristol City

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Bristol City

Akpom (47')
Giles (25'), McGree (74'), Smith (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Weimann (10')
Low (89'), Vyner (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Bristol City

Given Bristol City's long-standing inconsistency, they may very well travel to the North East and pull off a shock win. However, we feel that Boro could improve quickly under Carrick, leading us to predict a home win, albeit in nervy circumstances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 14.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
64.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 21.7% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 14.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.95% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1% (0.049999999999997 0.05)51.9% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (0.044 0.04)73.65% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.024000000000001 0.02)15.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (0.045999999999999 0.05)44.43% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.02% (0.020000000000003 0.02)47.97% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.79% (0.014000000000003 0.01)83.21% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 64.22%
    Bristol City 14.08%
    Draw 21.69%
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.92%
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 8.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 64.22%
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.69%
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 14.08%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Bristol City

Middlesbrough
76.5%
Draw
11.8%
Bristol City
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Middlesbrough
1-3
Bristol City
Fry (80')
Bola (63')
Diedhiou (21', 33'), Wells (37')
Palmer (61'), Hunt (90+1')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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