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Championship | Gameweek 20
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Bristol City

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Bristol City

Akpom (47')
Giles (25'), McGree (74'), Smith (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Weimann (10')
Low (89'), Vyner (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Bristol City

Given Bristol City's long-standing inconsistency, they may very well travel to the North East and pull off a shock win. However, we feel that Boro could improve quickly under Carrick, leading us to predict a home win, albeit in nervy circumstances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 14.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
64.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 21.7% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 14.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.95% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1% (0.049999999999997 0.05)51.9% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (0.044 0.04)73.65% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.024000000000001 0.02)15.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (0.045999999999999 0.05)44.43% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.02% (0.020000000000003 0.02)47.97% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.79% (0.014000000000003 0.01)83.21% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 64.22%
    Bristol City 14.08%
    Draw 21.69%
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.92%
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 8.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 64.22%
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.69%
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 14.08%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Bristol City

Middlesbrough
76.5%
Draw
11.8%
Bristol City
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Middlesbrough
1-3
Bristol City
Fry (80')
Bola (63')
Diedhiou (21', 33'), Wells (37')
Palmer (61'), Hunt (90+1')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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