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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
69.64% ( 2.1) | 18.95% ( -0.58) | 11.41% ( -1.52) |
Both teams to score 44.64% ( -2.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.32% ( -1.19) | 46.67% ( 1.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.06% ( -1.13) | 68.94% ( 1.13) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.76% ( 0.24) | 12.24% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.06% ( 0.5) | 37.94% ( -0.5) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.87% ( -3.32) | 49.13% ( 3.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.95% ( -2.48) | 84.05% ( 2.47) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
2-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.89) 1-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.73) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.7) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.41) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.27) 5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.19) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.13) Other @ 3% Total : 69.63% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.42) Other @ 0.61% Total : 18.95% | 0-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.43% Total : 11.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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