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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 13, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Turf Moor
Blackburn logo

Burnley
3 - 0
Blackburn

Barnes (55', 81'), Zaroury (74')
Cork (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Travis (42'), Ayala (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Burnley and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 3-1 Crawley
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Burnley 1-1 Blackburn Rovers

While Blackburn are yet to record a draw in the Championship this season, they did so in midweek in the EFL Cup, showing that they are capable of battling back in that situation. We feel that something similar could occur at Turf Moor, Burnley holding a lead before Rovers claim a late leveller. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBlackburn Rovers
69.64% (2.099 2.1) 18.95% (-0.581 -0.58) 11.41% (-1.518 -1.52)
Both teams to score 44.64% (-2.783 -2.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32% (-1.191 -1.19)46.67% (1.191 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06% (-1.127 -1.13)68.94% (1.128 1.13)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (0.241 0.24)12.24% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.06% (0.503 0.5)37.94% (-0.502 -0.5)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.87% (-3.318 -3.32)49.13% (3.32 3.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.95% (-2.475 -2.48)84.05% (2.474 2.47)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 69.63%
    Blackburn Rovers 11.41%
    Draw 18.95%
BurnleyDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-0 @ 13.26% (0.89 0.89)
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.73 0.73)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.236 -0.24)
3-0 @ 9.29% (0.701 0.7)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 4.88% (0.409 0.41)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.271 -0.27)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.189 0.19)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3%
Total : 69.63%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.311 -0.31)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.422 -0.42)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 18.95%
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-2 @ 3.19% (-0.435 -0.44)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.224 -0.22)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 11.41%

How you voted: Burnley vs Blackburn

Burnley
66.2%
Draw
22.1%
Blackburn Rovers
11.8%
68
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Blackburn
0-2
Burnley

Bennett (89')
Cork (27'), Brady (45')
Bardsley (55'), Long (64')
Mar 5, 2016 12.30pm
Burnley
1-0
Blackburn
Gray (15' pen.)
Lowton (63'), Ulvestad (92')

Gomez (13'), Lenihan (52'), Bennett (91'), Watt (92')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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