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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Dean Court
Derby logo

Bournemouth
2 - 0
Derby

Solanke (45+5'), Lowe (90')
Stacey (45+1'), Cantwell (63'), Christie (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morrison (69'), Davies (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bournemouth 2-1 Derby County

After two games without a win, we expect a response from Bournemouth in this match and are predicting the Cherries to triumph. If we have learned anything this season it is to not write off Derby, but it seems a big ask for the Rams to get something in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 71.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bournemouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bournemouth.

Result
BournemouthDrawDerby County
71.64%18.09%10.27%
Both teams to score 43.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95%46.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65%68.35%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.49%11.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.61%36.39%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.13%50.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.75%85.25%
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 71.62%
    Derby County 10.27%
    Draw 18.09%
BournemouthDrawDerby County
2-0 @ 13.68%
1-0 @ 12.65%
3-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-1 @ 6.67%
4-0 @ 5.33%
4-1 @ 3.6%
5-0 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 71.62%
1-1 @ 8.56%
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 3.13%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 18.09%
0-1 @ 3.96%
1-2 @ 2.89%
0-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 10.27%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Derby

Bournemouth
63.8%
Draw
15.5%
Derby County
20.7%
58
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2021 12pm
Derby
3-2
Bournemouth
Knight (13'), Lawrence (62', 69' pen.)
Anthony (19'), Solanke (38')
Billing (54')
Jan 19, 2021 6pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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