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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Loftus Road
Derby logo

QPR
1 - 0
Derby

Amos (88')
Dozzell (59'), Field (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lawrence (56')
Lawrence (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Derby County

Despite their outstanding results at home, Derby have still lost eight successive league games on the road, so it is very difficult to predict anything other than a home win on Monday. The hosts have been far from their best so Derby should give them an almighty contest, but if QPR can build on their draw last time out, then they should have just enough in them to record a narrow victory to potentially condemn their visitors to relegation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawDerby County
52.85%23.87%23.29%
Both teams to score 53.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44%47.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23%69.77%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05%17.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22%48.79%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24%34.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51%71.49%
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 52.84%
    Derby County 23.29%
    Draw 23.86%
Queens Park RangersDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 9.2%
3-1 @ 5.57%
3-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 52.84%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.59%
1-2 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 23.29%

How you voted: QPR vs Derby

Queens Park Rangers
44.6%
Draw
19.6%
Derby County
35.7%
56
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2021 7.45pm
Derby
1-2
QPR
Lawrence (10')
Willock (50'), Gray (90')
Gray (90+1')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Derby
1-1
QPR
Waghorn (23')
Malone (16')
Eze (45' pen.)
Osayi-Samuel (49'), Cameron (75'), Manning (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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