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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Stoke logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Stoke

Roberts (54')
Harwood-Bellis (22'), Vitinho (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clarke (87')
Wilmot (64'), Delap (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-4 Watford
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 3-1 Stoke City

Flying full-backs and a firing front line, a return to Turf Moor should help Burnley to recover from another last-minute equaliser conceded on the weekend. Against a Stoke City side who were in disarray on Saturday, we expect the Clarets to get the job done reasonably comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawStoke City
54.54% (-0.376 -0.38) 24.38% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 21.08% (0.46 0.46)
Both teams to score 49.15% (0.87 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.04% (0.825 0.83)51.96% (-0.818 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (0.708 0.71)73.71% (-0.702 -0.7)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.03% (0.17100000000001 0.17)18.97% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.5% (0.282 0.28)50.5% (-0.274 -0.27)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.65% (0.95 0.95)39.35% (-0.944 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.95% (0.876 0.88)76.05% (-0.869 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 54.53%
    Stoke City 21.08%
    Draw 24.37%
BurnleyDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 12.4% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-0 @ 10.31% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.72% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 54.53%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.245 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.4% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.076 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 21.08%

How you voted: Burnley vs Stoke

Burnley
82.5%
Draw
12.4%
Stoke City
5.2%
97
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2018 1.30pm
Stoke
1-1
Burnley
Ndiaye (11')
Pieters (85'), Ndiaye (91')
Barnes (62')
Barnes (25')
Dec 12, 2017 7.45pm
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
Burnley
1-0
Stoke
Boyd (58')
Ward (24'), Barton (30'), Boyd (90')

Adam (76'), Martins Indi (88')
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Burnley
Walters (20'), Muniesa (35')
Muniesa (54'), Imbula (70'), Biram Diouf (85')

Hendrick (14'), Barnes (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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