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Championship | Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Bristol City

Burnley
2 - 1
Bristol City

Benson (4'), Rodriguez (67')
Cork (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wells (27')
Scott (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Burnley
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-2 Bristol City

Both Burnley and Bristol City will be looking to return to winning ways after failing to claim maximum points in midweek. An entertaining encounter with plenty of goalmouth action is to be expected at Turf Moor, but with little to separate the two sides, a score draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBristol City
57.35% (-0.597 -0.6) 22.62% (0.804 0.8) 20.03% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 52.98% (-3.001 -3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.93% (-3.826 -3.83)46.07% (3.832 3.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.63% (-3.725 -3.73)68.37% (3.73 3.73)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (-1.492 -1.49)15.81% (1.498 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.02% (-2.83 -2.83)44.97% (2.835 2.83)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (-2.404 -2.4)37.07% (2.409 2.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-2.466 -2.47)73.85% (2.473 2.47)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 57.35%
    Bristol City 20.03%
    Draw 22.61%
BurnleyDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.81% (1.166 1.17)
2-0 @ 9.97% (0.596 0.6)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.13% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.392 -0.39)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.323 -0.32)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.265 -0.27)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.104 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 57.35%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.51 0.51)
0-0 @ 5.86% (0.9 0.9)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.82% (0.56 0.56)
1-2 @ 5.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 20.03%

How you voted: Burnley vs Bristol City

Burnley
Draw
Bristol City
Burnley
65.7%
Draw
22.9%
Bristol City
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Dec 28, 2015 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Bristol City
Gray (37', 45', 78'), Arfield (71')
Jones (45')

Baker (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd39267656292783
2Leeds UnitedLeeds392312478275181
3Burnley392215253114281
4Sunderland392012756371972
5Coventry CityCoventry39178145651559
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom391318848351357
7Middlesbrough391691459491057
8Bristol City391415104942757
9Watford39158164751-453
10Norwich CityNorwich391313136154752
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn39157174241152
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds391410155460-652
13Millwall391312143740-351
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR391112164553-845
16Swansea CitySwansea39129184051-1145
17Portsmouth39129184761-1445
18Stoke CityStoke391012174052-1242
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd391012174057-1742
20Hull City391011183948-941
21Cardiff CityCardiff39913174363-2040
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton39108213560-2538
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39713194077-3734


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