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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 2, 2022 at 12pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Watford logo

Stoke
0 - 4
Watford


Fosu (14'), Delap (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Bachmann (32'), Asprilla (48'), Sema (64'), Sierralta (69'), Choudhury (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Sunderland
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Watford

Given the upheaval at Watford, Stoke arguably enter this contest as the marginal favourites. However, we cannot ignore the extra attacking quality within the Hornets ranks, leading us to predict a competitive draw being played out in the Potteries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWatford
46.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 27.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.44% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.15% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.29% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.71% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.75% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)79.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.43% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (0.012999999999998 0.01)60.25% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.88% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)38.11% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.12% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)74.88% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 46.16%
    Watford 26.44%
    Draw 27.39%
Stoke CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 46.16%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 26.44%

How you voted: Stoke vs Watford

Stoke City
50.0%
Draw
23.3%
Watford
26.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford

Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')

Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Femenia (57'), Richarlison (76'), Doucoure (87'), Deeney (90')
Fletcher (16')
Choupo-Moting (62'), Shaqiri (85'), Biram Diouf (87'), Allen (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland129122391428
2Burnley126511751223
3Leeds UnitedLeeds126511981123
4Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd12732146822
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn125431612419
7Watford126151619-319
8Norwich CityNorwich124622216618
9Middlesbrough125341412218
10Millwall124441512316
11Bristol City123721416-216
12Derby CountyDerby124351515015
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds124351318-515
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd123541515014
15Hull City123541416-214
16Preston North EndPreston123541317-414
17Swansea CitySwansea1234588013
18Coventry CityCoventry123361417-312
19Stoke CityStoke123361317-412
20Luton TownLuton133371521-612
21Cardiff CityCardiff123361118-712
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth123361322-912
23Queens Park RangersQPR121651119-89
24Portsmouth121561225-138


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