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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 2, 2022 at 12pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Watford logo

Stoke
0 - 4
Watford


Fosu (14'), Delap (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Bachmann (32'), Asprilla (48'), Sema (64'), Sierralta (69'), Choudhury (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Sunderland
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Watford

Given the upheaval at Watford, Stoke arguably enter this contest as the marginal favourites. However, we cannot ignore the extra attacking quality within the Hornets ranks, leading us to predict a competitive draw being played out in the Potteries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWatford
46.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 27.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.44% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.15% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.29% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.71% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.75% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)79.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.43% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (0.012999999999998 0.01)60.25% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.88% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)38.11% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.12% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)74.88% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 46.16%
    Watford 26.44%
    Draw 27.39%
Stoke CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 46.16%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 26.44%

How you voted: Stoke vs Watford

Stoke City
50.0%
Draw
23.3%
Watford
26.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford

Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')

Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Femenia (57'), Richarlison (76'), Doucoure (87'), Deeney (90')
Fletcher (16')
Choupo-Moting (62'), Shaqiri (85'), Biram Diouf (87'), Allen (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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