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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 2, 2022 at 12pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Watford logo

Stoke
0 - 4
Watford


Fosu (14'), Delap (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Bachmann (32'), Asprilla (48'), Sema (64'), Sierralta (69'), Choudhury (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Sunderland
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Watford

Given the upheaval at Watford, Stoke arguably enter this contest as the marginal favourites. However, we cannot ignore the extra attacking quality within the Hornets ranks, leading us to predict a competitive draw being played out in the Potteries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawWatford
46.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 27.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.44% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.15% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.29% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.71% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.75% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)79.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.43% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (0.012999999999998 0.01)60.25% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.88% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)38.11% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.12% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)74.88% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 46.16%
    Watford 26.44%
    Draw 27.39%
Stoke CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 46.16%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 26.44%

How you voted: Stoke vs Watford

Stoke City
50.0%
Draw
23.3%
Watford
26.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford

Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')

Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Femenia (57'), Richarlison (76'), Doucoure (87'), Deeney (90')
Fletcher (16')
Choupo-Moting (62'), Shaqiri (85'), Biram Diouf (87'), Allen (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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