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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Luton Town

Cardiff
0 - 1
Luton


Bagan (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cornick (71')
Naismith (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Luton Town

Cardiff do not have too much to play for between now and the end of the season, but the same cannot be said for Luton, who have the fifth-best away record in the Championship this season. We are expecting a tight match on Monday afternoon but believe that the visitors will have enough to secure a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
32.14%27.38%40.48%
Both teams to score 49.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63%56.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61%77.39%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54%32.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01%68.98%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69%27.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.24%62.75%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.14%
    Luton Town 40.47%
    Draw 27.37%
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 5.61%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.14%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 11.5%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 7.47%
1-3 @ 3.64%
0-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.47%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Luton

Cardiff City
22.1%
Draw
20.6%
Luton Town
57.4%
68
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
4-0
Luton
Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Cardiff
0-3
Luton

Vaulks (85')
Hoilett (43' og.), Sheehan (63'), Jervis (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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