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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Luton Town

Cardiff
0 - 1
Luton


Bagan (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cornick (71')
Naismith (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Luton Town

Cardiff do not have too much to play for between now and the end of the season, but the same cannot be said for Luton, who have the fifth-best away record in the Championship this season. We are expecting a tight match on Monday afternoon but believe that the visitors will have enough to secure a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
32.14%27.38%40.48%
Both teams to score 49.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63%56.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61%77.39%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54%32.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01%68.98%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69%27.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.24%62.75%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.14%
    Luton Town 40.47%
    Draw 27.37%
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 5.61%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.14%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 11.5%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 7.47%
1-3 @ 3.64%
0-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.47%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Luton

Cardiff City
22.1%
Draw
20.6%
Luton Town
57.4%
68
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
4-0
Luton
Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Cardiff
0-3
Luton

Vaulks (85')
Hoilett (43' og.), Sheehan (63'), Jervis (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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